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  • Conferences - Symposiums
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  • ORSAM has launched An in-depth interview series, entitled ORSAM Interviews on Regional Affairs. The first edition features an interview with the Predident of Prime Ministry’s Disaster and Emergency Management Agency Dr. Fuat Oktay.
    Seyfi Taşhan: “This is a Job for Volunteers. It is Hard to Use Think Tank as a Stepping Stone in Turkey”
    We talked to Serdar Azez about the Goran's expectations from the elections, and the relations between Turkey and Iraqi Kurdistan.
    Latif Mohammad informed about the change in Kurdish politics and the Goran's outlook on the relations between Syrian Kurds and Turkey.
    We talked about the Goran Movement's expectations from the elections, its position in Iraqi Kurdish politics, as well as its outlook on Turkey.
    We talked about the Goran Movement's outlook on the relations with Turkey and about Syrian Kurds.
    Khalil shared his views on the current situation in Syria, the activities of Coalition, and on the solution of Syria problem.
    The interview we conducted with Judith S. Yaphe in Jordan, we talked about the Arab Spring process; the civil war in Syria; and Turkey – Israel relations.
    Alani shared his opinion on the Gulf countries' approach to the Arab Spring and Syria issue, their perceptions on Iran, and their views on Turkey's regional role.
    Kosrat Rasul about the internal politics of the Iraqi Kurdistan Regional Government, as well as the relations between Turkey and Iraqi Kurdistan Regional Government.
    On 24 March 2014, ORSAM, in partnership with the SAM and the Mosul University Department of Turkish Language and Literature organized a panel entitled “Changing Equilibrium in the Middle East and Turkey-Iraq Relations” in Mosul.
    Jordanian journalists visited the ORSAM on March 12, 2014 as part of a program organized by the Office of Public Diplomacy under the Prime Ministry of the Republic of Turkey.
    ORSAM and TESEV, with support from the Stabilization Unit of the UK Foreign and Commonwealth Office, held a joint workshop entitled “Regional Impact Analysis: Syrian Conflict” in Istanbul on 6 March 2014.
    ORSAM and Russian Research Center RISI jointly held a workshop, entitled “Kurds in the Middle East and Their Impacts on the Future of the Region”.
    2013 Strategic Vision Award ORSAM receives award from the Center for Strategic Studies (SAM) under the President of the Republic of Azerbaijan
    The Workshop entitled, “Political Developments in Iraq's Kurdistan Regional Government and the Future of Relations between Turkey and Iraqi Kurds”
    The Workshop entitled, "Turkey - Kyrgyzstan Relations: From Today to Tomorrow" The Workshop entitled, "Turkey - Kyrgyzstan Relations: From Today to Tomorrow" was held on May 6, 2013.
    Under the coordinatorship of Rumi Forum, a group of PhD students from the U.S. paid a visit to ORSAM on May, 16, 2013.
    ORSAM and GMF held a joint conference entitled, “Syria and Iraq from American and Turkish Perspectives”, first time in Washington between April 11-12, 2013.
    The 5th Joint Conference between RISI (Russian Institute of Strategic Research) and ORSAM (Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies) was held in St. Petersburg, Russia on March 25, 2013.
    Biladi Center for Strategic Studies and Research Visit to ORSAM. The delegation from Biladi Center for Strategic Studies and Resarch, paid a visit to ORSAM on April 4, 2013.
    The 5th Joint Conference between RISI (Russian Institute of Strategic Research) and ORSAM (Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies) was held in St. Petersburg, Russia on March 25, 2013.
    Libyan Civil Society Organizations Initiative Group represented by 12 delegates from Libyan civil society organizations visited ORSAM on 11 March 2013.
    A closed joint meeting was held at ORSAM with the participation of the French Ministry of Foreign Affairs delegation on Decemver 4, 2012.
    Egypt in Transition and Turkey-Egypt Relations in New Era The workshop was organized by the collaboration of the Embassy of the Arab Republic of Egypt and ORSAM on 4 June 2012.
    ORSAM-METU Joint Meeting: Tunisia During the meeting, the participants exchanged their opinions on the development in Tunisia, and especially on the cooperation possibilities between Tunisia and Turkey.
    ORSAM-Bilkent Joint Meeting: Belorussia During the meeting, the participants exchanged their opinions on regional subjects, and especially on the cooperation possibilities between Belorussia and Turkey.
    Prince Abdul-Aziz Bin Talal: "We Prefer Turkey, If there is going to be a superpower in the region, Turkey is desired to be it” Prince Abdul-Aziz Bin Talal said.
    ORSAM-Bilkent Joint Meeting: Kyrgyzstan During the meeting, the participants exchanged their opinions on regional subjects, and especially on the cooperation possibilities between Kyrgyzstan and Turkey.
    ORSAM-Bilkent Joint Meeting A closed meeting titled as “Kazakhstan at the 20th anniversary of its independence and its relations with Turkey” was held in Ankara.
    Developments in the Middle East Assessed with Saudi Advisor Mr. Abdullah AlShamri The Arab Spring and Turkey’s and Saudi Arabia's position in the Middle East were discussed.
    ORSAM Books No: 5
    ORSAM Middle East Books No: 3
    Mosul in The Ottoman Vilâyet Salnâmes
    ORSAM Books No: 4
    Central Asia Books No. 1
    Energy Security,
    Shanghai Cooperation Organisation and Central Asia
    EGYPT IN TRANSITION
    AND
    TURKEY-EGYPT RELATIONS IN NEW ERA
    TUNISIA AND TURKEY-TUNISIA
    RELATIONS IN THE ANNIVERSARY
    OF THE REVOLUTION
     
    ORSAM Report No: 115 Arguments on Safe Havens in Syria: Risks, opportunities and Scenarios for Turkey

    -The truth, brought out following a year since the beginning of the unrest in Syria, is the fact that the power struggle in Syria has fairly turned into a wrist wrestling and that it is almost impossible both for the regime and dissidents to turn back from their positions. It seems that the struggle will continue until the regime topples or Syrian dissidents are suppressed.

    - There is an asymmetrical power between the Syrian army and military opposition. This fact leads us to the conclusion that “It is quite difficult to change the Assad regime without foreign actors’ taking military measures or without providing the military opposition with foreign support”. Thus, more concrete and strict foreign policy options for the actors arguing for the regime change in Syria were started to be discussed. Within this framework, safe haven option comes to the forefront.

    - These following points should be taken into consideration while establishing safe haven: Ethnic, religious, sectarian distribution of the population living in places, where safe haven is considered to be established. The relations of locals with the Syrian regime and dissidents, and their outlook on the uprising. The locals’ outlook on Turkey, and how they will approach to the establishment of safe haven. The presence of non-state actors that might pose a safety threat for Turkey in the region. And lastly, the geographic situation of the region.

    - Establishing the safe haven to be created in Syria in a very limited zone can cause trouble both in terms of humanitarian accommodation and also in terms of the military protection. Therefore, if safe haven is going to be established; it should, at least, be 20 kilometers deep. However the borderline of this zone within Syria will not be a straight line. Considering geographic conditions and settlements, the borderline might be drawn to places closer to Turkey. Of course, military protection will be required for the region both by land and by air. The safe haven will serve, above all, for reception of Syrian civilian people escaping from the operations of Syrian army before entering in Turkish territories and for their accommodation without any security risk. Thus, Turkey will try to prevent economic and social problems to be created as a result of mass migration waves. The answer to the question regarding what the ultimate goal of establishing safe haven will be should shed light on where and how the safe haven will be created.

    Contents

    Presentation

    Executive Summary

    Introduction

    1. Process towards the Arguments on Military Measures for the Solution of Syrian Problem

    a. Arms Aid for Syrian Dissidents

    b. Establishing Safe Haven

    2. The General View of the Line Planned to be Established Safe Haven

    a. Latakia Province – Turkey Borderline

    b. Idlib Province – Turkey Borderline

    c. Aleppo Province – Turkey Borderline

    d. Raqqah Province – Turkey Borderline

    e. Hasakah Province – Turkey Borderline

    3. Possible Safe Haven Lines

    a. The Safest Line

    b. The Line with the Highest Risk

    c. Low Risk Maximum Benefit

    d. Alternative Line

    Conclusion
     
    Full text   
       
       
     10 April 2012  
              
    21 April 2014
    ORSAM Report No: 179
    November 2013
    İnterviews With Syrian Refugees in Reyhanlı - VI
    (Tr - Eng)
    ORSAM Report No: 178
    November 2013
    İnterviews With Syrian Women in Reyhanlı - V
    (Tr - Eng)
    ORSAM Report No: 164
    August 2013
    The Clashes in Northern Syria and the Possible Effects
    (Tr - Eng)
    ORSAM Report No: 160
    May 2013
    Interviews With Syrian Refugees in Reyhanlı
    (After Reyhanlı Bombings) - IV

    (Tr - Eng)
    ORSAM Report No: 159
    May 2013
    Interviews With Syrian Women in Reyhanlı - III
    (Tr - Eng)
    ORSAM Report No: 158
    May 2013
    Interviews With Syrian Refugees in Reyhanlı - II
    (Tr - Eng)
    ORSAM Report No: 157
    May 2013
    Interviews With Syrian Refugees in Reyhanlı - I
    (Tr - Eng)
    ORSAM Report No: 156
    May 2013
    ORSAM Report on Reyhanlı
    “11 May”
    (Tr - Eng)
    ORSAM Report No: 155
    BLACK SEA INTERNATIONAL Report No: 32
    May 2013
    Historical Notes from the Minutes of the Montreux Straits
    Conference and Kanal İstanbul
    (Tr)
    ORSAM Report No: 154
    ORSAM Water Research Programme Report No: 19
    May2013
    Transboundary Waters Within the Scope of EU Water Framework Directive
    (Tr)
    ORSAM Report No: 153
    April 2013
    Electoral Laws in Iraq
    (Tr)
     
    ORSAM Report No: 152
    April 2013
    Basic Data on 2013 Local Elections in Iraq
    (Tr)
    ORSAM Report No: 151
    April 2013
    Democracy Process and Problems in Iraqi Kurdistan
    (Tr - Eng)
     
    ORSAM Report No: 150
    March 2013
    Syrian Turkmens: Political Movements and Military Structure
    (Tr - Eng)
    ORSAM Report No: 149
    February 2013
    David Cameron and the EU: Crossing the Rubicon
    (Eng)
     
    ORSAM Report No: 148
    January 2013
    Internatonal Politics and Civilizations
    (Clash of Civilizations and Dialogue)

    (Tr - Eng)
    Доклад ОРСАМ Но: 147
    ЧЕРНОМОРСКИЙ МЕЖДУНАРОДНЫЙ Доклад Но: 31
    Январь 2013
    Диалог Культур: Белорусско-Литовские
    Татары – Выходцы Из Урало-Волжского Региона
    В Великом Княжестве Литовском
    ORSAM Report No: 146
    BLACK SEA INTERNATIONAL Report No: 30
    January 2013
    Eurasia in 2013: Political and Economic Analysis
    (Eng)
    ORSAM Report No: 145
    ORSAM Water Research Programme Report No: 18
    January 2013
    Orsam Water Interviews 2012
    (Tr - Eng)
    ORSAM Report No: 144
    ORSAM Water Research Programme Report No: 17
    January 2013
    Orsam Water Interviews 2011
    (Tr - Eng)
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