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  • We talked to the Iraqi Minister of Electricity about the economic situation in Iraq.
    We talked to the Vice Chairman of the Kurdistan Islamic Movement (Yekgirtu) about the stance of Yekgirtu towards the presidential crisis in Iraqi Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG).
    We talked to president of the National Coalition for Syrian Revolutionary and Opposition Forces Khaled Khoja on the overall evaluation of the revolution in Syria and evolution of the armed conflict in the aftermath.
    Ortadoğu Analiz talked to Dr. Fuad Hussein,the Chief of Staff to the Presidency of the KRG, on the broad tensions in the Middle East, how are they affecting Iraq in general and KRG in particular.
    We talked to President of Syrian Turkmen Assembly Abdurrahman Mustafa on the Syrian Turkmen
    Ortadoğu Analiz talked to Gökhan Çetinsaya, Prime Ministry's Chief Advisor, on Iraq's basic dynamics after 2003 and Turkey-Iraq Relations.
    Ortadoğu Analiz talked to Davood Feirahi on the Middle East and the Rising Secterianism in the Region
    Mulla Bakhtiar: “The Reasons behind ISIS Was Socio-Economic Issues and Lack of Democracy”
    We, as Ortadoğu Analiz, talked to Sayyid, on the “Regional Order and Possibility of New Politics in the Middle East” during the II. Middle Eastern Congress on Politics and Society which was organized by the Centre for Middle Eastern Studies at Sakarya University on 14-17 October 2014.
    We talked to Kirkuk Governor Najmaldin Karim about Turkey-Iraq relations, the situation of new Iraqi government, Kurdish Regional Government dealing problem with ISIL and Kirkuk.
    We talked to co-founder of the Arab Reform Initiative Bassma Kodmani about international society’s approach to Syrian civil war, current situation of Syrian opposition and expectations from international actors.
    We talked to Ambassador Mohamed El Fatah NACIRI, who served as the Head of Mission of the League of Arab States to Ankara since February, 2010, about the Middle East before and after Arab Spring; and the League of Arab States which is a international and regional actor.
    ORSAM has launched the new issue of the ORSAM Inteviews on Regional Affairs. This edition features an interview with Rifat Hisarcıklıoğlu, the President of the Union of Chambers and Commodity Exchanges of Turkey (TOBB).
    ORSAM has launched An in-depth interview series, entitled ORSAM Interviews on Regional Affairs. The first edition features an interview with the Predident of Prime Ministry’s Disaster and Emergency Management Agency Dr. Fuat Oktay.
    ORSAM hosted the delegation of the Center for Strategic Studies under the President of the Republic of Azerbaijan (SAM) on November 19, 2015.
    Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies (ORSAM) held a meeting with the cooperation of Turkish Economic and Social Studies Foundation (TESEV), TOBB University of Economics and Technology (TOBB ETÜ) and Young Friends of Turkey (YFoT) on 6th November 2015 at TOBB ETÜ.
    Representatives of Vietnam based Institute for Africa and Middle East Studies (IAMES), Dr. Nguyen Manh Hung ve Pham Thi Kim Hue paid a visit to ORSAM on 27th October 2015.
    7th Uludağ Conference on International Relations “In Search of a New Order in International System” took place on 21-22 October 2015 and ORSAM session was held on the second day of the conference.
    On 7 October 2015, a five-member delegation from the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, Ukraine Analytica and Ukraine Embassy paid a visit to ORSAM.
    On 28 September 2015, a meeting entitled “Iraq, Turkey, and the US: Strengthening the Anti-ISIS Coalition” was held by ORSAM and Middle East Institute in Washington D.C., USA.
    The Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies (ORSAM) and Woman, Family and Youth Center (KAGEM) organized a project entitled “School of Personal Development and Leadership for Iraqi Turkmen Women” in 14-19 September 2015 in Ankara.
    A delegation of Center for Strategic Research of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Turkey (SAM) interns paid a visit to ORSAM
    A symposium was held for two days at TOBB ETU campus on 8-9 September 2015, in cooperation with the Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies (ORSAM), Moscow-based PolitKontakt and TOBB University of Economics and Technology.
    On 24 August-4 September 2015, a training program for 22 Turkmen students from Iraq was held in cooperation with ORSAM and TIKA, with the support of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Turkey Diplomacy Academy.
    A closed workshop meeting titled "Safe Zone Discussion within the Context of Developments in the North of Syria and the location of the Turkmen” was held with the cooperation of Syrian Turkmen Assembly and ORSAM on 3 September 2015.
    A meeting was conducted with the delegation of Iraqi Bektashis on 17 August 2015 in ORSAM.
    The report titled "Turkish Red Crescent Community Center Project Needs Assessment" and prepared in cooperation with ORSAM, Turkish Red Crescent and International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies, was launched during a meeting hosted by TEPAV on 13 July 2015.
    A workshop titled “Turkey-Iraq Relations” was held on 8 June2015 by the Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies (ORSAM) with the support of the Republic of Turkey Prime Ministry.
    The launch of the report entitled “A New Controversial Actor In Post-ISIS Iraq: al-Hashd al-Shaabi” published by ORSAM took place on 9 June 2015 in Ankara.
    A group of Georgia State Universiy Political Science Department students paid a visit to ORSAM on 18 May 2015.
    A delegation of SDE (Institute of Strategic Thinking) Academy students paid a visit to ORSAM.
    A delegation of Uludağ University International Relations Community composed of student members paid a visit to ORSAM on 05 May 2015.
    A roundtable meeting on ‘The Impacts of Syrian Crisis on the Neighboring Countries’ was held on 3 April 2015 between the Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies (ORSAM) and Hasan Kalyoncu University (HKU) Kalyoncu Middle East Research Center (KALMEC).
    ORSAM, adding a new one to its national and international steps, signed a cooperation protocol with Al-Nahrain Center, a think tank that is connected to the Iraqi Undersecretariat of Public Security.
    Strategic Studies Summit was held in 24-25 March 2015 with the partnership of Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies (ORSAM) and American based research center, Near East South Asia (NESA).
    A delegation of Abant İzzet Baysal University Social Sciences and Moot Community composed of student members paid a visit to ORSAM on 24 March 2015.
    On 17 March 2015, a four-member delegation from Shanghai Institute for International Studies paid a visit to ORSAM.
    25-person Pakistan Youth delegation paid a visit to ORSAM on 17 March 2015, at the first day of their program.
    ORSAM and Issam Fares Institute of the American University of Beirut organized a panel entitled “The Impact of the Syrian Crisis on Neighboring Countries” at the auditorium of Issam Fares Institute inside the American University of Beirut Campus on March 2nd, 2015.
    A roundtable meeting on “Muslim Brotherhood Movement From Turkish and Iranian Perspectives” was held at ORSAM on 6 March 2015 with the contributions of Tehran University Professor of Political Science Dr. Davood Feirahi and SETA Researcher Can Acun as speakers.
    A delegation from the Center for Strategic Studies of the Qatar Armed Forces paid a visit to ORSAM on 17 February 2015.
    The Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies (ORSAM) and the Center for Strategic Research (SAM) organized a meeting on January 28th 2015, hosting Álvaro Vasconcelos, Associate Senior Research Fellow with the Arab Reform Initiative.
    ORSAM organized an international workshop entitled “The State of Affairs in Foreign Terrorist Fighters Research Workshop” on 23 January 2015 in Ankara.
    Ege University International Relations Community (ULİT) visited ORSAM
    Within the context of “Ankara Familiarisation Trip”, a delegation of Canakkale Onsekiz Mart University International Relations Community composed of 45 students paid a visit to ORSAM on 11 December 2014.
    Journalist Delegation of Russian Federation paid a visit to ORSAM on 9 December 2014 in order to discuss relations between the Middle East and Turkey relations.
    ORSAM-NESA-Yıldız Technical University Joint Meeting Entitled “The Middle East in Flux: Iraq, Syria and Turkish-American Relations”
    Joint Symposium: “Beyond Chapters – The Future of Turkey in Europe”
    ORSAM in coordination with Department of International Relations in TOBB ETU, and Austrian Embassy held conference entitled “Which Effects Will The New Government in Iraq Have on The Future of The ISIS in Iraq and Beyond?”.
    ORSAM, SAM and TOBB Economy and Technology University have organized a conference on 30 October 2014 entitled “Regional Security and Cooperation Perspectives in the Black Sea in the aftermath of Recent Developments in Ukraine”.
    On the occasion of the 90th Anniversary of the Diplomatic Relations Between Japan and Turkey, ORSAM in cooperation with Japanese Embassy and SAM organized a joint symposium entitled “Japan and Turkey: Where Did We Come From? Where Are We Going?"
    ORSAM in collaboration with the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars organized a panel entitled “Turkey, Iraq and Kurdistan Regional Government”. The panel took place on August 25th 2014 in Washington D.C.
    A delegation from The Japan Institute of International Affairs (JIIA) visited Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies (ORSAM) on 19 August 2014.
    On 30 April 2014, national elections took place in Iraq. Not only Iraqi people followed these elections but also countries in the region and international actors watched them closely.
    The Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies (ORSAM) in coordination with the Italian research institute of Istituto Affari Internazionali (IAI) organized a meeting in Rome entitled “Turkish Policy toward the Syrian Crisis and the Impact of Refugees” on June 6th 2014.
    ORSAM, in collaboration with the Middle East Institute and the Migration Policy Institute organized a meeting entitled “Syrians on the Edge: The Status of Refugees in Neighboring Countries” in Washington D.C.
    ORSAM and Center for Strategic Studies-University of Jordan (CSS) organized a workshop entitled “Exchanges on the Middle East: Turkey-Jordan Relations within the Changing Regional Environment” in Amman on 26 May 2014.
    ORSAM will held a conference entitled “Syrians on the Edge: The Status of Refugees in Neighboring Countries”, in partnership with Middle East Institute and Migration Policy Institute in Washington, DC.
    ORSAM, in cooperation with TOBB ETU and the United Nations held a panel entitled “Forum for the Support of the Palestinian People “on May 14, 2014.
    On 6-7 May 2014, ORSAM, in cooperation with Türkmeneli Cooperation and Cultural Foundation, Turkish Cooperation and Coordination Agency (TİKA) and Turkish Historical Society organized a symposium entitled “Middle Eastern Turkmen”.
    A mission which is composed of Lebanon Turkmens and chaired by Hussein Mohamad- Secretary General of the Tripoli and Dinniye Lebanon Türkoman League has visited Turkey in order to contact with some institutes.
    A delegation of Turkish academicians led by ORSAM President Assoc. Prof. Şaban Kardaş paid a visit to Iranian universities and research institutions on 19-20 April 2014.
    A group of students from SDE Academy, established within the Institute of Strategic Thinking on April 27th, 2014, paid a visit to ORSAM within the scope of their “Weekly Event Schedule”.
    ORSAM, in partnership with SAM ve TOBB ETU, held a lecture entitled “How will the International Order Accommodate Rising Powers? A Liberal Perspective" by G. John Ikenberry in 16 April 2014 in Ankara.
    On 24 March 2014, ORSAM, in partnership with the SAM and the Mosul University Department of Turkish Language and Literature organized a panel entitled “Changing Equilibrium in the Middle East and Turkey-Iraq Relations” in Mosul.
    Jordanian journalists visited the ORSAM on March 12, 2014 as part of a program organized by the Office of Public Diplomacy under the Prime Ministry of the Republic of Turkey.
    ORSAM and TESEV, with support from the Stabilization Unit of the UK Foreign and Commonwealth Office, held a joint workshop entitled “Regional Impact Analysis: Syrian Conflict” in Istanbul on 6 March 2014.
    ORSAM Books No: 5
    ORSAM Middle East Books No: 3
    Mosul in The Ottoman Vilâyet Salnâmes
    ORSAM Books No: 4
    Central Asia Books No. 1
    Energy Security,
    Shanghai Cooperation Organisation and Central Asia
    ORSAM Report No: 115 Arguments on Safe Havens in Syria: Risks, opportunities and Scenarios for Turkey

    -The truth, brought out following a year since the beginning of the unrest in Syria, is the fact that the power struggle in Syria has fairly turned into a wrist wrestling and that it is almost impossible both for the regime and dissidents to turn back from their positions. It seems that the struggle will continue until the regime topples or Syrian dissidents are suppressed.

    - There is an asymmetrical power between the Syrian army and military opposition. This fact leads us to the conclusion that “It is quite difficult to change the Assad regime without foreign actors’ taking military measures or without providing the military opposition with foreign support”. Thus, more concrete and strict foreign policy options for the actors arguing for the regime change in Syria were started to be discussed. Within this framework, safe haven option comes to the forefront.

    - These following points should be taken into consideration while establishing safe haven: Ethnic, religious, sectarian distribution of the population living in places, where safe haven is considered to be established. The relations of locals with the Syrian regime and dissidents, and their outlook on the uprising. The locals’ outlook on Turkey, and how they will approach to the establishment of safe haven. The presence of non-state actors that might pose a safety threat for Turkey in the region. And lastly, the geographic situation of the region.

    - Establishing the safe haven to be created in Syria in a very limited zone can cause trouble both in terms of humanitarian accommodation and also in terms of the military protection. Therefore, if safe haven is going to be established; it should, at least, be 20 kilometers deep. However the borderline of this zone within Syria will not be a straight line. Considering geographic conditions and settlements, the borderline might be drawn to places closer to Turkey. Of course, military protection will be required for the region both by land and by air. The safe haven will serve, above all, for reception of Syrian civilian people escaping from the operations of Syrian army before entering in Turkish territories and for their accommodation without any security risk. Thus, Turkey will try to prevent economic and social problems to be created as a result of mass migration waves. The answer to the question regarding what the ultimate goal of establishing safe haven will be should shed light on where and how the safe haven will be created.



    Executive Summary


    1. Process towards the Arguments on Military Measures for the Solution of Syrian Problem

    a. Arms Aid for Syrian Dissidents

    b. Establishing Safe Haven

    2. The General View of the Line Planned to be Established Safe Haven

    a. Latakia Province – Turkey Borderline

    b. Idlib Province – Turkey Borderline

    c. Aleppo Province – Turkey Borderline

    d. Raqqah Province – Turkey Borderline

    e. Hasakah Province – Turkey Borderline

    3. Possible Safe Haven Lines

    a. The Safest Line

    b. The Line with the Highest Risk

    c. Low Risk Maximum Benefit

    d. Alternative Line

    Full text   
     10 April 2012  
    27 November 2015
    Report No: 201
    August 2015

    The United Nations Approach
    to the Libyan Crisis
    Report (Tr-Eng)
    Report No: 200
    July 2015
    Turkish Red Crescent Community
    Center Project Needs Assessment
    Report (Tr-Eng)
    Report No: 199
    June 2015
    Turkey-Lebanon Friendship Bridge: The Turkish
    Presence and the Ottoman Heritage 
    in Lebanon (Tr-Eng)
    Report No: 198
    May 2015
    A New Controversial Actor In Post-ISIS
    Iraq: Al-Hashd Al-Shaabi
    (The Popular Mobilization Forces)
    Report No: 196
    January 2015
    The Economic Effeects of Syrian Refugees on Turkey:
    A Synthetic Modelling
    Report No: 195
    January 2015
    Effects of the Syrian Refugees on Turkey
    ORSAM Report No: 194
    December 2014
    Effects of Oil Price Plunge on the Mena Economies
    ORSAM Report No: 193
    November 2014
    Japan and Turkey in the International Community: Cooperation and Potential
    (Tr - Eng)
    ORSAM Report No: 192
    October 2014
    Turkey-Tunisia Relations on the Eve of Elections in Tunisia
    (Tr - Eng)
    ORSAM Report No: 191
    September 2014
    US Strategy against ISIS and its Potential Implications for Iraq & Syria
    (Tr - Eng)
    ORSAM Report No: 190
    June 2014
    The 2014 Elections, ISIS Operations and the Future of Iraq
    (Tr - Eng)
    ORSAM Report No: 189
    April 2014
    The Situation Of Syrian Refugees in the Neighboring Countries:
    Findings, Conclusions and Recommendations
    (Tr - Eng - Ar)
    ORSAM Report No: 179
    November 2013
    İnterviews With Syrian Refugees in Reyhanlı - VI
    (Tr - Eng)
    ORSAM Report No: 178
    November 2013
    İnterviews With Syrian Women in Reyhanlı - V
    (Tr - Eng)
    ORSAM Report No: 164
    August 2013
    The Clashes in Northern Syria and the Possible Effects
    (Tr - Eng)
    ORSAM Report No: 160
    May 2013
    Interviews With Syrian Refugees in Reyhanlı
    (After Reyhanlı Bombings) - IV

    (Tr - Eng)
    ORSAM Report No: 159
    May 2013
    Interviews With Syrian Women in Reyhanlı - III
    (Tr - Eng)
    ORSAM Report No: 158
    May 2013
    Interviews With Syrian Refugees in Reyhanlı - II
    (Tr - Eng)
    ORSAM Report No: 157
    May 2013
    Interviews With Syrian Refugees in Reyhanlı - I
    (Tr - Eng)
    ORSAM Report No: 156
    May 2013
    ORSAM Report on Reyhanlı
    “11 May”
    (Tr - Eng)
    ORSAM Report No: 155
    May 2013
    Historical Notes from the Minutes of the Montreux Straits
    Conference and Kanal İstanbul
    ORSAM Report No: 154
    ORSAM Water Research Programme Report No: 19
    Transboundary Waters Within the Scope of EU Water Framework Directive
    ORSAM Report No: 153
    April 2013
    Electoral Laws in Iraq
    ORSAM Report No: 152
    April 2013
    Basic Data on 2013 Local Elections in Iraq
    ORSAM Report No: 151
    April 2013
    Democracy Process and Problems in Iraqi Kurdistan
    (Tr - Eng)
    ORSAM Report No: 150
    March 2013
    Syrian Turkmens: Political Movements and Military Structure
    (Tr - Eng)
    ORSAM Report No: 149
    February 2013
    David Cameron and the EU: Crossing the Rubicon
    ORSAM Report No: 148
    January 2013
    Internatonal Politics and Civilizations
    (Clash of Civilizations and Dialogue)

    (Tr - Eng)
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